Slender Margins

Following frantic negotiations and policy changes, Theresa May has won herself a majority of 14 seats and the right to form a government, after MPs endorsed the Queen’s Speech. However, already the fragility of this position and the Conservatives’ reliance on the DUP (and their own back-benches) is evident, as May needed to pledge £1million a year to Northern Irish women seeking abortions in England, in order to avoid defeat to a Labour-led amendment. The question is surely now how long the Tories can limp on without the need for a further public endorsement of their position. For the first time in years, Labour is now the bookmakers’ slender favourite (Evens v 11/10) to win the next General Election, with the most likely timing of this being in 2018 (1/5).  If correct, this would mean a change in the UK’s administration during the middle of the Brexit negotiations. Has May’s ‘strengthened hand’ become something of a limp wrist?