Indyref2 v2?

As the discussion about the UK’s independence from the EU seemingly takes a break, another independence discussion is reignited. First Minister of Scotland Nicola Sturgeon announced this week her support for a second independence vote for Scotland by 2021 in the event that either the UK leaves the EU, or Boris Johnson becomes Prime Minister. Although Sturgeon’s support is running high, to achieve this would require a 10-point swing in what, by EU referendum standards, looked like a fairly clear decision by the Scots last time around. Independence would be economically challenging for Scotland, which exports 61% of its products to the wider UK, and whose economy is not particularly well diversified. However, a realistic threat of independence would also create further issues for the rump of the UK. The same Brexit-related challenges with the Irish border would also present themselves to the North, a position unprecedented since 1707. Ruth Davidson, Leader of the Scottish Conservative Party, has pointed to Sturgeon’s apparent renege on her promise that this was a ‘once in a generation’ vote. Tony Blair on the other hand points to a hard Brexit result as being a potential gamechanger and catalyst for weakening of the union. What could be done to strengthen the union, Blair was asked. Merge the English, Scottish and Welsh football leagues, he answered.