Independent Thinking

Indyref2 is back on the agenda in Scotland. Arguably both of Sturgeon’s tests (material change of circumstances, and 60% in favour over 3-6 months period) have been met. However, with the oil and gas sector struggling, and greater uncertainty over the use of sterling, it might prove to be a difficult case to make to the Scottish electorate. At the moment Scotland has no basis to negotiate with the EU other than under the banner of the UK, and so whilst EU leaders have treated Sturgeon’s approaches genially, for the time being there is little to talk about.